Card issuers are struggling to defuse a consumer-debt bomb that could blow an estimated $41 billion hole in their businesses this year -- and even more in 2009.
By BusinessWeek
The troubles sound familiar:
Borrowers falling behind on their payments. Defaults rising. Huge swaths of loans souring. Investors getting burned.
But forget the now-familiar tales of mortgages gone bad. The next horror for beaten-down financial companies is the $950 billion worth of outstanding credit card debt -- much of it toxic.
That's bad news for players such as JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America that have largely sidestepped -- and even benefited from -- the mortgage mess but have major credit card operations. They're hardly alone. The consumer-debt bomb is already beginning to spray shrapnel throughout the financial markets, further weakening the U.S. economy.
"The next meltdown will be in credit cards," says Gregory Larkin, a senior analyst at research firm Innovest Strategic Value Advisors.
Adds William Black, the senior vice president of Moody's Investors Service's structured finance team: "We still haven't hit the post-recessionary peaks (in credit card losses), so things will get worse before they get better."
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Banking/CreditCardSmarts/the-next-meltdown-credit-cards.aspx