Some observations...
First to ProfH. I don’t see Walker as ‘just” a conservative, but a tea radical.
Turnout is huge. I am hearing 60-70% turnout. That, for a non-Presidential race is gigantic.
Walker has spent around 65 million to Barrett’s 4 million. Frankly, with those numbers it should not even be close. If it is, then it can be said it is because of all the outside money. If it is close, it is confirmation that big money has a bigger “free speech voice” than people.
Recalls are rare, and whether his money can fend off a recall election, he was still recalled.
The high numbers appear to be both parties out in force. It also seems to support that the divide is extreme, not just in numbers, but intensity. I guess what it looks like is the Republican’s liked the thuggery and no compromise style of leadership, and the Democrats oppose that same thuggery.
From what I have heard, the rural conservatives are not so strong for Walker, although that will have to wait for election results to confirm.
So, does this present a “wave” as Republican’s rant? I really doubt it. I see this as meaning not much either way. If Walker wins by a close vote, it just means big money matters. If Barrett wins a close election, it means not much either. Does it affect other state elections, or the Presidential election? I think not. I suppose it could make this one state a different mix, but that’s it.
What it will do is increase the spin. Republicans will say that the “my way or the highway”” thuggery is what American’s (but just Republican’s) want. The Democrats will call it a strike against union elimination, or maybe the thuggery of “my way or the highway.”
What it really has been is a recall of a Governor that used extremist measures to accomplish his goals, and some say went too far. It means only that he motivated those he decided didn’t matter to him.
Also up for recall are the Lt Governor and 3 Republican state senators. A win of one makes the D’s the majority of the Senate.
Anyway, if the turnout is 60-70% and Walker wins close, then he has a whopping big population that extremely dislikes his way of doing things.